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Bitcoin - BTC/USD
Bitcoin is testing its $76,500 breakout level. A recovery remains possible while the support zone extending down to around $73,200 holds. However, buyers need to reclaim the $80,000–$84,000 area to generate fresh upside momentum.
Bitcoin traded at around $78,100 on Wednesday morning, after briefly falling to $75,645. Since September’s high of $87,259, the cryptocurrency has formed lower highs, suggesting that the recovery from its summer lows is losing momentum.
The first test lies between September’s low of $75,086 and the breakout level around $76,500. Below this area, the Fibonacci retracement at $73,973 and the rising 200-day moving average at $73,170 reinforce the broader support zone.
Momentum remains subdued: The 34-period RSI stands at 48.19, close to its neutral midpoint. The indicator measures the strength of price movements. A move above the 48.5 filter used in this analysis would provide additional support for a recovery.
If support holds, attention turns to the $80,000–$84,000 resistance zone. This area combines previous lows, May’s high at $82,852 and another Fibonacci retracement at $83,933.
A confirmed breakout above this zone would strengthen the case for a move towards $87,259. Beyond that, the resistance area between $92,000 and $97,800 would come into focus.
Conversely, a daily close below $73,000 would significantly weaken the recovery outlook. The next potential support levels would lie at $65,800, followed by the $60,183–$57,874 area.
| Scenario | Confirmation to watch | Potential price targets | Invalidation |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long: Support holds | Test of $76,500 followed by a daily close above it; RSI above 48.5 as an additional filter | $80,000 → $82,852–$83,933 | Daily close below $75,086 invalidates this short-term recovery setup |
| Short: Support breaks | Daily close below $73,000, followed by a failed retest of $73,200–$74,000 | $65,800 → $60,183 → $57,874 | Daily close back above $74,000 |
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CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please consider our Risk Disclosure Notice and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.
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