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BTC/USD

Bitcoin below $70,000 as bull flag fails

Bitcoin’s recovery has suffered a setback. With the bull flag broken, attention turns to the $70,000 area. Can buyers stabilise the price, or is another leg lower ahead?

Bitcoin below $70,000 as bull flag fails Source: Bloomberg

Written by

Salah-Eddine Bouhmidi

Salah-Eddine Bouhmidi

Head of Markets at IG Europe

Publication date

Bitcoin is down around 3% in Friday’s session, trading near $68,960 on the supplied IG daily chart. Turmoil surrounding Nvidia and pressure on AI stocks are weighing on risk appetite, with the weakness spilling into cryptocurrency markets.

Bitcoin technical analysis: Bull flag breaks down

The loss of $80,000 and the break below the flag have invalidated the bullish continuation scenario for now. Bitcoin has also fallen below its 100-day exponential moving average. The 34-period RSI is below the 48.5 threshold used in this analysis, reinforcing the weak momentum picture.

The immediate question is whether buyers can stabilise prices around $69,000–$70,000. If this area fails and fresh lows follow, $65,000 becomes the next downside reference, followed by the support zone around $60,000.

Can Bitcoin recover towards $80,000?

An initial bounce is visible, but a bottom has yet to be confirmed. A sustained recovery above $70,000 would be the first step towards stabilisation.

Sharp rebounds remain possible. However, resistance around $74,000 and the 100-day EMA near $77,000–$78,000 stand between current prices and $80,000. Reclaiming those levels would provide stronger evidence that the technical picture is improving.

Bitcoin daily chart: Bull flag breakdown puts $70,000 in focus

Bitcoin daily chart: Bull flag breakdown puts $70,000 in focus Source: IG
Bitcoin daily chart: Bull flag breakdown puts $70,000 in focus Source: IG

Bitcoin: Long and short scenarios

Scenario Condition Potential targets
Long Prices stabilise and sustainably reclaim $70,000 $74,000, followed by the 100-day EMA near $77,000–$78,000; then $80,000
Short An attempted recovery above $70,000 fails and fresh lows follow Initially $65,000; a further support break could expose $60,000

BTC/USD: Five-Year Price Performance

BTCUSD:  Entwicklung fünf Jahre Quelle: IG
BTCUSD:  Entwicklung fünf Jahre Quelle: IG