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Macro Intelligence

Australia’s data centre growth fuels ASX stock opportunities

In this week’s edition of IG Macro Intelligence, we take a look at Australia’s booming data centre market and ASX stocks to watch.

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Written by

Juliette Saly

Juliette Saly

News Director and Anchor, ausbiz TV

Published on:

Data down under

Australia’s data centre sector is surging, fuelled by rapid cloud uptake, artificial intelligence (AI) growth and rising digital sovereignty needs.

With strong subsea cable links to both Asia and the United States (US), Australia has become a critical connectivity hub for the broader Asia-Pacific (APAC) region.

Australia’s data centre sprawl chart

Australia’s data centre sprawl chart Source: Australian Financial Review
Australia’s data centre sprawl chart Source: Australian Financial Review

What’s NextDC?

NextDC (ASX:NXT)

NextDC is building a $7 billion, 650 megawatt data centre in Sydney’s Eastern Creek – set to become the biggest in the southern hemisphere – and has secured ChatGPT owner OpenAI as its major customer.

The deal marks a significant step in Australia’s bid to establish itself as a regional hub for fast-growing global data centre investment.

Treasurer Jim Chalmers has hailed the deal as significant for Australia, saying it will provide thousands of direct and indirect jobs.

NextDC buy/sell indicators and analyst projections

NextDC buy/sell indicators and analyst projections chart Source: FNArena
NextDC buy/sell indicators and analyst projections chart Source: FNArena

Brokers are similarly upbeat, with Morgan Stanley recently upgrading its price target to $21 with an overweight position, suggesting the stock can rally close to 50% from current levels.

Meanwhile, Ord Minnett believes the partnership with OpenAI could lift NextDC’s equity value by roughly $2.10 per share by financial year (FY) 2030 – 31. It lifted its price target to $20.50 and maintained a 'buy' recommendation.

NextDC historical trends and price targets

NextDC historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv
NextDC historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv

However, shares have underperformed over the past 12 months and ASX Tradewatch data show the trend appears weak, with little demand from investors for the stock.

The 200-day moving average (MA) is sloping downwards while recent price action has been weak, suggesting investors should proceed with caution.

NextDC daily candlestick chart

NextDC daily candlestick chart Source: IG
NextDC daily candlestick chart Source: IG

Other plays 

Macquarie Technology Group (ASX:MAQ)

Luke Winchester prefers Macquarie Technology Group, which operates three data centre campuses – two in Sydney and one in Canberra.

Shares have fallen close to 30% year-to-date, and technical data also shows they are in a near-downtrend, specifically confirmed by a drop in the 20-day MA, suggesting investors see better opportunities elsewhere.

Macquarie Technology Group daily candlestick chart

Macquarie Technology Group daily candlestick chart Source: IG
Macquarie Technology Group daily candlestick chart Source: IG

However, with an average 'buy' broker recommendation and mean target price of $87.70, the stock could run a further 38% if it hit those targets.

Macquarie Technology Group historical trends and price targets

Macquarie Technology Group historical trends and price targets Source: Refinitiv
Macquarie Technology Group historical trends and price targets Source: Refinitiv

Morgan Stanley is overweight the stock with an $85 target price and has forecast FY2026 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.238.

Macquarie Technology Group buy/sell indicators and analyst projections

Macquarie Technology Group buy/sell indicators and analyst projections chart Source: FNArena
Macquarie Technology Group buy/sell indicators and analyst projections chart Source: FNArena

Goodman Group (ASX:GMG)

Goodman Group shares have fallen around 22% over the past 12 months and appear to be in a long-term bearish trend, confirmed by multiple indicators.

Brokers are upbeat on the stock with an average target price around $38, suggesting 28% upside.

Goodman Group daily candlestick chart

Goodman Group historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv
Goodman Group historical trends and price targets chart Source: Refinitiv

Digico Infrastructure REIT (ASX:DGT)

Digico Infrastructure REIT – a diversified owner, operator and developer of data centres with a global portfolio.

ASX Tradewatch data show sentiment for this stock, which is down 45% over the past 12 months, may be improving.

The demand, supply balance for the stock is stabilising, suggesting either a pause in its current downtrend or the possibility of an uptrend.

The average broker recommendation is a 'buy', according to Refinitiv, with a $3.90 price target, suggesting 56% upside.

Digico Infrastructure REIT historical trends and price targets

Digico Infrastructure REIT historical trends and price targets Source: Refinitiv
Digico Infrastructure REIT historical trends and price targets Source: Refinitiv

Important to know

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Australia Pty Ltd. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

 

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