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FOREX

AUD/USD: Double bottom puts the 0.7160 level back in focus

The Aussie has strengthened in October. Following a double bottom, resistance around 0.7050 is now in focus, with a breakout potentially paving the way for further gains.

AUD/USD: Double bottom puts the 0.7160 level back in focus Source: IG

Written by

Salah-Eddine Bouhmidi

Salah-Eddine Bouhmidi

Head of Markets at IG Europe

Publication date

Double bottom explained:

A double bottom can signal a shift from falling to rising prices. The pattern is confirmed when the price breaks above the intermediate high between the two lows.

The Australian dollar gained 1.17% against the US dollar in October, bringing its year-to-date advance to 5.55%, as of 29 October. While EUR/USD declined 1.72% over the same month-to-date period, the Aussie gained ground against the greenback.

The technical picture has also improved. After forming two lows around 0.6898, AUD/USD regained upward momentum from mid-October. Extending that recovery now depends on overcoming the next resistance zone.

AUD/USD: A break above 0.7050 could support further gains

The daily chart shows a potential W-shaped double bottom. The recovery is approaching an important resistance zone around 0.7050, close to the monthly pivot point.

A sustained breakout, ideally confirmed by a daily close above resistance and a successful retest, would strengthen the bullish outlook. The next major upside objective would then be around 0.7160, an area previously traded in September.

Additional confirmation could come from the 34-period RSI, which is testing the 48.5 threshold used in this analysis. A sustained move above that level would support the case for strengthening upward momentum.

However, rejection around the pivot area could send AUD/USD back below the psychological 0.7000 level. A break beneath that threshold would bring the double-bottom support zone around 0.6900–0.6898 back into focus.

AUD/USD Daily Chart 

AUD/USD: A break above 0.7050 could support further gains Source: IG
AUD/USD: A break above 0.7050 could support further gains Source: IG

AUD/USD: Potential long and short setups

Scenario Potential trigger Price objective Scenario weakened by
Long Confirmed breakout above 0.7050, supported by RSI above 48.5 Around 0.7160 A move back below the breakout zone
Short Rejection around 0.7050, followed by a break below 0.7000 0.6900–0.6898 A sustained recovery above 0.7050

AUD/USD: Five-Year Price Performance

AUDUSD:  Price Performance over 5 years Source: IG
AUDUSD:  Price Performance over 5 years Source: IG