Early strength in the ASX 200 was sustained into the afternoon session, led by mining stocks, though negative consumer and business sentiment tempered broader risk appetite.
The Australia 200 trades 59 points (0.67%) higher at 8985 as of 3.15pm AEST.
The ASX 200 was fast out of the gates this morning, surging 95 points (1.06%) to an intraday high of 9021.5 shortly after the opening bell. This marked its first visit back above the psychological 9000 level since early March.
The early push followed a solid lead from Wall Street overnight, where investors focused on fresh signs that Middle East peace negotiations could resume. That optimism helped propel the Nasdaq Composite to its ninth consecutive gain, its longest winning streak since December 2023.
While offshore developments provided the backdrop for a strong start, domestic headlines quickly conspired to limit the advance. Speaking in New York shortly before the opening of the local bourse, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Deputy Governor Andrew Hauser warned of a ‘nightmare’ scenario where inflation re‑accelerates even as growth weakens, a dynamic that would significantly complicate policy choices.
That cautionary tone was reinforced a few hours later when the Westpac–Melbourne Institute consumer sentiment index for April plunged 12.5% to 80.1, its biggest month‑on‑month (MoM) fall since the Covid-19 pandemic. The sharp drop was heavily driven by heightened concerns over the Middle East conflict, rising fuel costs, lingering fears of higher interest rates, and potential job losses.
The bleak domestic picture was rounded out when the National Australia Bank (NAB) business confidence index slumped to -29 in March, down from a revised zero the previous month. This marks the second‑largest fall on record and the weakest reading since the Covid-19 era, with cost and price expectations rising sharply across the board.
Local technology stocks took the opportunity to build on recent signs of basing.
Largely immune to the domestic backdrop, the materials sector marched higher and is on track to record a fourth consecutive week of gains.
A strong overnight session for United States (US)‑based lithium miner Albemarle, which rose nearly 6.8% following a broker upgrade and a 2.81% lift in US lithium futures, provided a positive lead for ASX‑listed lithium names today.
Uranium miners extended their rebound from late‑March lows as investors focused on massive long‑term power demand from artificial intelligence (AI) data centres and a rebound in technology stocks on Wall Street.
Conversely, the sharp retreat in WTI crude oil from yesterday’s $105.63 high to current levels near $96.79 weighed on energy stocks.
From its all‑time high of 9202.9 in late February, the ASX 200 fell 940 points (10.2%) to the 8262 low on 23 March, where clear signs of capitulation appeared in the daily candle.
Last week’s robust 4.44% rally has reinforced confidence that the 8262 low marks the end of the correction and that the broader uptrend has resumed.
The index is now eyeing a retest and decisive break of the 9202.9 record high, which would open the way for a push towards 9400 - 9500.
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