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As October gets underway in earnest, strategists are lining up to suggest that more volatility is on its way. To be fair, they do appear to have history on their side. Years containing presidential elections in the US do appear to see more volatility, with much of this concentrated in the month immediately preceding the event itself.
Volatility has risen consistently in the past six presidential elections, as measured by the VIX index, although the figure is slightly skewed by the 2008 figure, when the index rose 52%, due in no small part to the ongoing financial crisis: