Mining sector spares FTSE's blushes

Heading into the close the FTSE 100 is clinging on in positive territory, as eurozone markets move firmly lower thanks to Greek trauma. 

Mining truck
Source: Bloomberg

Vulnerable markets await Dragi's comments

Were it not for a sterling performance by the mining sector today, picking itself up off the floor following yesterday’s selloff, then the FTSE 100 would have joined its eurozone and US stablemates in negative territory.

Reports of a potential worsening of the Greek situation have not helped sentiment today, with bond markets taking fright at the prospect of the Greeks being thrown to the wolves. If Athens is aiming to shore up domestic opinion, then the threat of default might make some sense, but in a wider sense it is a classic example of ‘cutting off your nose to spite your face’.

Until Mario Draghi appears tomorrow with what is likely to be a calming balm of commentary about the pleasant effects of QE, markets look vulnerable. Speaking of balms, mining stocks were in demand thanks to expectations that Chinese GDP will allay growth concerns later in the week, while the ongoing rally in oil boosted Weir Group by over 4% and added 1% to the Shell share price.

Johnson & Johnson suffers first drop in 18 quarters

A bounce in US retail sales was not enough to lift Wall Street sentiment from the doldrums this afternoon, since expectations had been for a solid number that would reassure us that the US consumer was still going strong.

Wells Fargo and Johnson & Johnson reported falls in earnings, with the latter cutting its 2015 outlook and the former enduring its first drop in 18 quarters in income.

A reasonable performance from JPMorgan boosted that bank’s shares but was insufficient to spark a sustained rally. If US economic data continues to disappoint then markets may be able to shrug off these weak earnings as Federal Reserve rate expectations are pushed back, but for now the combination of poor macro and earnings data is conspiring to keep markets on the back foot. 

Oil bulls eye situation in OPEC

It had looked like another tough day for gold and silver but both these commodities have been given a lift thanks to that US retail sales report. The lack of a sufficiently large bounceback in the shopping habits of Americans meant that the report was filed in the ‘bearish economic data’ pile, and prompting a drop back in the dollar as over-eager rate expectations were pared back once again.

Meanwhile oil prices continued their Spring bounce, as another OPEC member, Iran, broke cover to demand a cut in output. Two is not quite enough yet to shift opinion within the body, but oil bulls will be watching this situation very carefully.

GBP/USD could move to $1.50

The retail sales report provided the catalyst cable and euro bulls had been waiting for to get their revenge on the dollar. The greenback’s retreat gave these currencies a chance to shine, with the pound’s performance particularly noticeable given the back-to-back months of ‘no-flation’ that the UK has now endured.

Sentiment is now turning once more against a US rate hike in June, which might set GBP/USD up nicely for a move back in the direction of $1.50.  

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by analysts

Een artikel zoeken

Form has failed to submit. Please contact IG directly.

  • Ik wens per e-mail informatie van IG Group bedrijven te ontvangen over handelsideeën en IG's producten en diensten.

Voor meer informatie over hoe wij uw gegevens mogelijk kunnen gebruiken, bekijkt u ons Privacy- en toegangsbeleid en onze privacy website.

CFD’s zijn complexe instrumenten en brengen vanwege het hefboomeffect een hoog risico mee van snel oplopende verliezen. 79% van de retailbeleggers lijdt verlies op de handel in CFD’s met deze aanbieder.
Het is belangrijk dat u goed begrijpt hoe CFD's werken en dat u nagaat of u zich het hoge risico op verlies kunt permitteren.
CFD’s zijn complexe instrumenten en brengen vanwege het hefboomeffect een hoog risico mee van snel oplopende verliezen.