Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Oil has held on to its gains, while gold seems primed for further falls.

Gold bullion
Source: Bloomberg

Gold’s turn lower may indicate period of selling

The sharp turn lower yesterday might suggest we are seeing the beginning of a new leg lower. A modest move higher over the course of the session yesterday took the price back towards $1285, but with the hourly stochastic no longer oversold, fresh selling momentum may develop.

A move below yesterday’s lows around $1278 would then suggest a drop towards $1265. 

WTI looks to build upon new support

Yesterday’s rally has put a floor in for now, so if the price holds above $44 this gives us a clear level to watch for support.

The next target would be the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $45.98, while above this the price must get back above the 2016 trendline, above $46.50. A move below $44 could see the price head back to $40, not seen since late July.

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