Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

More of the same for gold and crude, with the soft metal gaining ground and the oil moving lower. The trend certainly seems to be your friend for commodities.

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold breaks higher once more
Gold has been working out very well, with relatively consistent price action. Yesterday’s triangle saw an upward breakout, with a deep pullback crucially not breaking below the $1346 level. We are now seeing a sharp appreciation, which will likely turn into another round of consolidation soon.

As such, a bullish view remains, with consolidation and retracements seen as opportunities to scale up. We would need to see an hourly close below $1346 to negate this bullish view.

Brent sell-off still in play
Brent has also seen the trend continue at pace, with another sharp move lower yesterday. We are expecting further losses, with yesterday’s low of $42.50 turning into clear resistance this morning.

As such, further downside seems likely, with $41.92 the next important short-term support level of note. A break back above $42.50 would not necessarily negate this bearish view, but would instead point towards a deeper retracement towards $43.42. As such, we would need an hourly close above $43.89 to regain a more bullish view.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

CFD’s zijn complexe instrumenten en brengen vanwege het hefboomeffect een hoog risico mee van snel oplopende verliezen. 79% van de retailbeleggers lijdt verlies op de handel in CFD’s met deze aanbieder.
Het is belangrijk dat u goed begrijpt hoe CFD's werken en dat u nagaat of u zich het hoge risico op verlies kunt permitteren.
CFD’s zijn complexe instrumenten en brengen vanwege het hefboomeffect een hoog risico mee van snel oplopende verliezen.