Skip to content

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 69% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY slide despite strong German factory orders

Outlook on EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and EUR/JPY post hawkish Fed minutes and as German factory orders come in much better-than-expected.

Video poster image

​​​EUR/USD slips on hawkish Fed minutes

EUR/USD slid back to its recent lows at $1.0845 to $1.0835 amid hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) minutes, a drop through which would push the $1.0789 April low to the fore.

​While the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.0875 caps, a bearish bias remains in play. Minor resistance above it lies at Wednesday’s high at $1.0908 and also at Friday and Monday’s highs at $1.0931 to $1.0933.

EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​EUR/GBP drops back towards its June low

EUR/GBP continues to slide towards its £0.8522 June low despite much better-than-expected German factory orders which rose to 6.4% month-on-month (MoM) in May, widely beating estimates of 1.2%.

​A fall through £0.8522 would eye the mid-August 2022 high at £0.8511, below which lies the 12 August 2022 high at £0.8493.

​Any potential bounce is expected to encounter resistance at the 30 June low at £0.8577.

EUR/GBP chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/GBP chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​EUR/JPY drifts lower

EUR/JPY's rise seems to have fizzled out at the late June high at ¥158.00 as traders are increasingly concerned about potential currency intervention by the Bank of Japan (BoJ).

​So far a decline back to this week’s low at ¥155.85 has been seen, a drop through which would target the mid-June high at ¥155.33 and the 23 June low at ¥155.06.

​Minor resistance can be spotted at the late June low at ¥156.69 and at Thursday’s intraday high at ¥156.91. While it caps, downside pressure should remain in play.

EUR/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Start trading forex today

Trade the largest and most volatile financial market in the world.

  • Spreads start at just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
  • Analyse market movements with our essential selection of charts
  • Speculate from a range of platforms, including on mobile

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only

Plan your trading week

Get the week’s market-moving news sent directly to your inbox every Monday. The Week Ahead gives you a full calendar of upcoming economic events, as well as commentary from our expert analysts on the key markets to watch.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.