RMB Holdings vs Firstrand Ltd
The chart considered is that of RMB Holdings (candlestick) with a Relative Strength Comparison (RSC) indicator added. The RSC compares the price of one security with that of another in a ratio format.
The RSC has experienced a decline in value recently, which highlights that security 1 (RMB) has been underperforming security 2 (Firstrand Ltd). Bollinger Bands have been added to the RSC and highlight the underperformance of security 1 reaching abnormality relative to the usual relationship of the two securities.
It is expected that the relationship between the two securities will revert back to normality favouring a possible pair trade opportunity i.e. long RMB, short Firstrand. The target from the technical indications would be for the RSC to move back towards the 20MA (red line) which is regarded as the mean. This could occur with the price movements of the securities in a number of ways:
- RMB rising and Firstrand falling
- RMB rising faster than Firstrand rising
- RMB falling slower than Firstrand falling.
Should one of these scenarios play out successfully the expectation would be for a net gain of 2.7%. A stop-loss would be considered equal to the anticipated gain of 2.7%.
RMB Holdings and Firstrand Ltd will both be ex-dividend on the 24th of March 2014. Should the set-up be in effect on this date, the dividend should be inconsequential as they are of similar size for each company.