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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

GBP/USD has shot higher, but the move has stalled ahead of a Carney speech today. Meanwhile, EUR/USD is having trouble moving higher.

Dollar and pound
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD beginning to weaken

Rallies in EUR/USD have been sold since the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting, with an inability to push back above the $1.20 mark. The uptrend is not beaten yet, but a push below last week’s low of $1.1837 would signal further weakness from here.

Longer-term, we would need to see the price below $1.1780, the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), to put a real dent in the trend, so for now, caution is the watchword for bears.

GBP/USD flies high for first time in months

Fresh hawkish commentary on Friday sent GBP/USD flying to fresh highs, touching $1.36 for the first time since the Brexit vote.

Today’s 4pm speech by Bank of England (BoE) governor, Mark Carney, could mean that today sees the pair consolidate after leaping higher last week. Pullbacks towards $1.33 could well find fresh buyers.

USD/JPY pushes higher

An upper gap here has seen USD/JPY (大口) push above the 100-day SMA (¥111.10). Further gains would target ¥112.25, the 200-day SMA, and then on to the ¥114.37 area.

A close below ¥110 is the first step to putting a more bearish outlook in place for this pair. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.