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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold looks set for further upside, after completing a head and shoulders rally. However, Brent crude looks likely to turn lower once more, amid a short-term bounce. 

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Gold rallies after short-term head and shoulders

Gold managed to break higher from a short-term head and shoulders pattern, with the price rallying into the upper Bollinger band. The breakout above $1252 points towards a move out of the immediate downtrend, with further upside likely.

However, given the extension away from the 20 day simple moving average (SMA) – the middle Bollinger band - there is a good chance we could see a retracement lower today. Such a move is likely to be temporary in nature, with further upside likely before long. We would need a break below $1240 to negate the bullish outlook.

Brent looks set for further short-term weakness

Brent sold off yet again yesterday, following a brief retracement.

We look to be seeing something similar here, with the possibility that the price will head back towards the lower bounds of its recent range, at around $61.50. An hourly close below $62.36 would provide greater confidence of this move. Until then, there is still a chance of further short-term upside.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.