Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold and Brent exhibit periods of consolidation and retracement. However, the wider story is the same, with a bullish outlook expected to return before long.

Gold
Source: Bloomberg

Gold continues to retrace lower

Gold has continued its decline, following a breakdown from the ascending channel seen throughout the past week. The key here is that this pullback is perceived as a retracement rather than a reversal, as long as we do not break below the $1260 mark.

As such, the Fibonacci support levels will play an important role as potential reversal areas. With the price having broken below the 50% level, watch out for the 61.8% ($1278) and 76.4% ($1271) pullbacks. A bullish view is thus in play unless we move below $1260.

Brent ascent making slow progress

Brent has been moving higher once more over the past week, with the price heading back towards the crucial $58.93 resistance level. The gap open on Monday has now been closed, with the price subsequently moving back into trendline resistance.

While a bullish outlook is held, a break above $58.33 would add greater confidence that this current consolidation is over. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by analysts

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.