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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold’s rally is on the cusp of a major breakout, while oil could be poised for a reversal. 

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold pushing higher

Gold has pushed above the downtrend line off the July highs, so now we see if it can hold this level. A close below the trendline, back below $1265, coupled with overextended stochastics, could mark a bearish development, with a drop back to $1250 or lower possible.

 If $1265 holds then we look for a push to $1280 and then $1295. 

WTI – a close above the 200-day SMA on the way?

WTI is fighting hard to hold above the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $49.74, with a close above this line likely to signal a move in the direction of $50.52 and then $51.99.

A close below the 200-day SMA and then below $49.40 could suggest that a reversal is in play, creating a new lower high on the daily chart and increasing the possibility that the 2017 downtrend has resumed. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.