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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold has been hit hard this morning, while oil’s steady downtrend is now at a crossroads. 

Mining
Source: Bloomberg

Gold looking unsure

The nascent gold rally has taken a nasty knock, dropping back rapidly from $1257 and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), but finding buyers around $1235 and the 200-day SMA.

A close below $1240 would negate the positive outlook created last week, and open the way to $1214 and then $1195. If the buyers can hold $1240, we may see a resurgence, but for now the picture is quite uncertain.

WTI working hard to bounce

The recovery of $42.80 last week, following a dip beneath it, lends strength to the idea that a bounce is still in progress. However, the four-hour chart shows that the sequence of lower highs has not yet been broken. This would require a move above $44, and the 50-period SMA on this chart that has, until now, done sterling service as a trendline.

For now, it is probably too early to call an end to the slump, but a turn could be at hand. WTI will bear careful watching over the next few days. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.