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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold prices have retraced, but given the recent trend, this may be an opportunity rather than a reversal. Meanwhile, Brent prices are rising, yet the downtrend remains intact.

Mining gold
Source: Bloomberg

Will gold turn higher once more?

Gold has pulled back overnight, set within a clear two-week uptrend. According to that short trend, we expect to see the price rise once more this morning. While that appears to be happening from the 50% retracement, it is worth noting that there is a huge hurdle above at $1264.

As such, while we could clearly break higher from here, the bullish view holds much more value upon breaking through $1264. A break and hourly close below $1241 would provide a more bearish picture.

Brent back at notable resistance level

Brent has rallied back to the $51.14 level this morning. This level represents the source of significant resistance over the past week. As such, this looks like an interesting area to possibly turn lower once more, with the $50.25 area to look for.

Ultimately, we would need a break through trendline and $52.31 resistance to negate the recent downtrend. Until then, it seems likely that these recent gains will be fleeting. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.