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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold maintains its upward move, but oil looks at risk of a swift move lower. 

Gold rings
Source: Bloomberg

Gold getting ready for the big job

The move higher goes on for gold, with Friday’s dip affording the chance for more buyers to hop on. The first weekly pivot point to watch for resistance is $1243.

Above this the price has a big job ahead of it – breaking the high from late February at $1260, along with the 200-day simple moving average ($1260) and also smashing through the downtrend from last year’s highs. That still gives us some short-term upside to play with. If it fails to move on above $1260 then we would look to $1195, the March low, then to the January low at $1180, and then all the way back to $1122. Above $1260 the next move higher would run into resistance at $1279 and then back to the November high at $1300.

WTI looking risky

It looks increasingly like the dip buyers have run out of ammunition as last week’s rally back to $50 brought out the sellers, and a further push higher on Friday faltered at $49.50.

The next move lower for WTI would target $47.50, the low of last week, and then down to $45, and the low from late November. As institutions continue to cut back their positioning, we could be seeing an alignment of the price action and flows that could provoke a bigger sell-off here. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.