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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold has dropped back into trendline support, while Brent attempts to push higher off the back of recent declines. 

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Gold back into trendline support  

Gold continues to consolidate around trendline support, with yesterday’s rally once again falling short around the 76.4% retracement at $1303. 

The ability to break above that level, or below $1289, will provide us with the key determinant of direction from here on in. Given the previous respect of this trendline, there is a good chance we will see another move higher in the short term. However, the continued respect of the 76.4% retracement highlights that this period of sideways price action could yet prove to be a precursor to another leg lower.

Brent attempts to arrest the recent decline

Brent has managed to post a short-term rebound, following a decline that has been seen as a continuation of the recent period of downside.

This wider move does generally look like a multi-stage retracement before we head higher once more. However, for now there is a good chance that any upside falls short around trendline resistance, which will continue the bearish pattern seen over the past month. A break above $79.17 would bring the bullish view back into play.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.