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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold continues its ascent, yet the wider downtrend is expected to kick in once more. Meanwhile, crude prices move into trendline support, set within rising wedge.

Oil barrels
Source: Bloomberg

Gold continues to move higher, yet sellers not far

Gold has enjoyed a particularly consistent uptrend over the past week, with the price moving towards the $1259 resistance level. While we have a very clear uptrend in place over the past two weeks, this is set within what looks like a bearish reversal for gold on the longer-term perspective.

With that in mind, while further gains could be in the cards, it makes sense to look for a potential bearish reversal play from the $1261-$1274 zone (61.8%-76.4%). As such, while we would need a break back below $1235 to negate the current uptrend, a bearish outlook will come back into play should we continue our ascent into those levels.

Brent moving into trendline support

Brent is selling off once more this morning, in a continuation of the weakness we saw at the back end of last week. The break through $49.92 last week provided us with a rising wedge pattern, which points towards a potential bearish break down the line.

However, for now, we are seeing a move into trendline support, which is worth watching for a potential rebound. Ultimately, we would need a break back below $46.20 to resume the bearish medium-term mindset. Until then, short-term losses are expected to see a move into trendline support, upon which the validity of this wedge comes into play. Make sure to keep an eye out for news coming from the meeting between OPEC and non-OPEC members.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.