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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold and WTI both continue to exhibit excellent trends, albeit in different directions. 

Gold figure
Source: Bloomberg

Gold - is the current rally at an end?

Is a repeat of April at hand? In that month gold surged to $1295 before beginning a rapid decline. Yesterday saw the price fall from this resistance point, but it is surely too early to worry that the current rally is at an end.

We would need to see further declines below $1280 to become more negative in the short term. A surge beyond $1295 will take it to $1307 and on to $1350.

WTI - rallying back to $47?

Selling into strength worked a treat over the past two days, as a rally to $48.50 brought out the sellers, while a surprise jump in crude stockpiles sent WTI slumping.

With the price having created a new lower low in this hourly downtrend it may now rally back towards $47, but as long as it stays below $48.50 the sequence of lower highs remains intact. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.