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The Week Ahead

Read about upcoming market-moving events and plan your trading week

Week commencing 29 November

Chris Beauchamp’s insight

Key events this week include Chinese PMIs and the monthly US ADP and NFP job reports. An OPEC meeting will also be worth monitoring for any potential impact on the oil price. It is a sparse earnings calendar overall, and with the new Covid variant from South Africa causing major concern it may be that all other datapoints are pushed into the background as markets attempt to price in the potential for a widespread return of restrictions and a likely hit to economic growth.

Economic reports

  • Monday
  • Tuesday
  • Wednesday
  • Thursday
  • Friday
  • Weekly view

1pm – German CPI (November, preliminary): expected to rise to 4.7% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (October): sales to rise 1.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1am - China mfg & non-mfg PMI (November): mfg PMI to rise to 49.8 and non-mfg to fall to 52. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

8.55am – German unemployment (November): unemployment rate to hold at 5.4%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

10am – eurozone CPI (November, flash): prices to rise 4.4% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (November): index to fall to 68.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US consumer confidence (November): expected to fall to 111.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses

12.30am – Australia GDP (Q3): expected to be 1.5% YoY and -4% QoQ. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.45am – China Caixin mfg PMI (November): expected to fall to 50.2. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.15pm – US ADP employment report (November): 480K jobs expected to have been created, from 571K in the previous month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US ISM mfg PMI (November): index to rise to 61. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 26 November): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 1 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

All day - OPEC meeting: the oil body may look to increase production after recent gains in the oil price, although the drop over the past month may stay their hand for now. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI, energy stocks

5am – Japan consumer confidence (November): index to rise to 40. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 27 November): expected to rise to 245K from 199K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

1.45am – China Caixin services PMI (November): expected to fall to 53. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (November): payrolls to rise to 563K from 531K. Unemployment rate to fall to 4.5%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

1.30pm – Canada employment report (November): 45K jobs expected to have been created. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – US ISM non-mfg PMI (November), factory orders (October): factory orders to rise 0.5% MoM and ISM to fall to 65.2.

Monday

1pm – German CPI (November, preliminary): expected to rise to 4.7% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

3pm – US pending home sales (October): sales to rise 1.3% MoM. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Tuesday

1am - China mfg & non-mfg PMI (November): mfg PMI to rise to 49.8 and non-mfg to fall to 52. Markets to watch: China indices, CNH crosses

8.55am – German unemployment (November): unemployment rate to hold at 5.4%. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

10am – eurozone CPI (November, flash): prices to rise 4.4% YoY. Markets to watch: EUR crosses

2.45pm – US Chicago PMI (November): index to fall to 68.3. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3pm – US consumer confidence (November): expected to fall to 111.8. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Wednesday

12.30am – Australia GDP (Q3): expected to be 1.5% YoY and -4% QoQ. Markets to watch: AUD crosses

1.45am – China Caixin mfg PMI (November): expected to fall to 50.2. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.15pm – US ADP employment report (November): 480K jobs expected to have been created, from 571K in the previous month. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

3pm – US ISM mfg PMI (November): index to rise to 61. Markets to watch: USD crosses

3.30pm – US EIA crude oil inventories (w/e 26 November): previous week saw stockpiles rise by 1 million barrels. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI

Thursday

All day - OPEC meeting: the oil body may look to increase production after recent gains in the oil price, although the drop over the past month may stay their hand for now. Markets to watch: Brent, WTI, energy stocks

5am – Japan consumer confidence (November): index to rise to 40. Markets to watch: JPY crosses

1.30pm – US initial jobless claims (w/e 27 November): expected to rise to 245K from 199K. Markets to watch: USD crosses

Friday

1.45am – China Caixin services PMI (November): expected to fall to 53. Markets to watch: CNH crosses

1.30pm – US non-farm payrolls (November): payrolls to rise to 563K from 531K. Unemployment rate to fall to 4.5%. Markets to watch: US indices, USD crosses

1.30pm – Canada employment report (November): 45K jobs expected to have been created. Markets to watch: CAD crosses

3pm – US ISM non-mfg PMI (November), factory orders (October): factory orders to rise 0.5% MoM and ISM to fall to 65.2.

Company announcements

Monday
29 November

Tuesday
30 November

Wednesday
1 December

Thursday
2 December

Friday
3 December

Full-year earnings

Shaftesbury,
Topps Tiles,
Future,
easyJet

Half/ Quarterly earnings

Wise,
Pennon,
Hewlett Packard Enterprise
Snowflake Dollar General,
Kroger
Trading update

Go-Ahead

Dividends

FTSE 100: 3i, National Grid, Royal Mail (interim & special), Severn Trent, Johnson Matthey

FTSE 250: Hill & Smith, Bellway, Alliance Trust, AVI Global, Oxford Instruments, Ninety One, Great Portland Estates, Big Yellow, Personal Assets Trust, Telecom Plus, Caledonia Investments, Pets at Home, LXI REIT

Dividends are applied after the close of the previous day’s session for each market. So, for example, the FTSE 100 goes ex-dividend on a Thursday, but the adjustment is applied at the close of the previous day, e.g. Wednesday. The table below shows the days in which the adjustment is applied, not the ex-dividend days.

Index adjustments

Monday
29 November
Tuesday
30 November
Wednesday
1 December
Thursday
2 December
Friday
3 December
Monday
6 December
FTSE 100

3.69
Australia 200 1.2 0.7
Wall Street 11.9 24.1 11.6
US 500 0.60 0.39 0.71 0.22 0.15 0.06
Nasdaq 0.19 0.91 1.95 0.11 0.05
Netherlands 25
EU Stocks 50 1.1 0.7
China H-Shares 0.1
Singapore Blue Chip 0.06
Hong Kong HS50 2.5
South Africa 40 34.0
Italy 40
Japan 225

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