On Monday 9 February Randgold Resources is due to release fourth-quarter figures. The adjusted earnings per share is expected to improve from $0.63 to $0.662, while sales are expected to jump to $312 million from $283.234 million. The company’s pre-tax profit should be almost unchanged at $79.7 million. However, fourth quarter profit year-on-year is expected to fall by as much as 38.5% from, $129.72 million.
It is worth noting that Randgold Resources is the best performing mining stock in the FTSE by a healthy margin, but this has not been enough to encourage institutional analysts. Of those rating the company, eight have them as a buy 11 as a hold and two as a sell. It is also worth noting that the average price target for the next twelve months is £52.31 – over £3 below the current share price.
The performance of Randgold is intrinsically linked to the performance of gold, and the rally that the precious metal has had over the last three months has helped drive the share price 24.7% higher. Every move in the gold price has a direct knock-on effect to Randgold’s bottom line profitability, and the recent uncertainties in the Eurozone, along with the European Central Bank’s decision to embark on a quantitative easing scheme, have helped. It is also worth remembering that the anticipated dates for interest rates rising for the UK and US have been pushed further away, helping the allure of the precious metal.
The recent run in the shares looks to have become a little exhaustive, and with gold beginning to drift lower too we could see the shares looking for support closer to their July 2014 highs around the £52 region.