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Levels to watch: FTSE, DAX and Dow

Holidays for the UK and US mean those markets play catch up with yesterday’s gains. However, with both Germany leading the way with a month-high this morning, we could see a strong start to the day.

All trading involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.
Traders in the New York Stock Exchange
Source: Bloomberg

FTSE remains in the range
The FTSE is expected to open back in the range which dominated the second half of last week. Despite price action yesterday pointing towards a rally outside of the 6250-6281 range, this is less reliable than data taking place during open hours.

As such, it is worthwhile simply continuing to play the range until we see a real breakout. With that in mind, any move back down towards 6250 levels seem a good place to get long into the uptrend.

We await a closed hourly candle outside of this range to signify a break and potential spark for the next big move in this index.

DAX attempted break runs into resistance
The DAX has ground higher over the past 24 hours, with the index briefly posting a new intraday high this morning. However, this appears to be on the wane, with price likely to come into contact with an ascending trendline of support. Below this is the crucial 50-hour simple moving average (SMA), which has been consistently holding up price of late

 As such, the bullish view holds, with near-term resistance at 10,373 and the bigger level of 10,532. However, should we see an hourly close below 10,282, this would create a more bearish short-term picture, with 10,244 the next key level to the downside.

Dow trading within narrow range
The Dow Jones is selling off into a key near-term support level at 17,894, which represents both yesterday’s low and last week’s high. It is worth noting that yesterday was a bank holiday in the US and thus this range is less reliable than it would be during market hours. Nevertheless, given the fact  17,894 also represents the last week’s high, it is likely this level will once more represent a crucial inflection point in today’s trade.

Should it hold, we are likely to rally back into 17,933. Conversely, a close below 17,894 would look towards 17,845 and 17,801 as the next potential support levels to watch.

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