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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

The week has started quietly, with dollar bulls trying to recover after their drubbing on Friday. 

Euro and dollar
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD looks set to continue upward progress 

Last week’s dip held above the crucial $1.1080 area, and since then dips have been strenuously bought. Friday’s EUR/USD peak took out the high from 22/23 May, around $1.1250.

So far it looks like we will continue to see an ascent to $1.13. Conversely, a move below $1.11 is needed to indicate that upward progress has stalled. 

GBP/USD needs to break above $1.29

This morning’s services purchasing managers index (PMI) could revive a flagging bounce in GBP/USD, but it needs to get back above $1.29, an area that has seen significant selling pressure in recent sessions.

The trendline was lost earlier in May, and last week an attempt to move back above it failed around $1.29. Last week’s support at $1.2775 and the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.2771 now come into play. 

USD/JPY remains bearish 

USD/JPY continues to hover just above the 200-day SMA at ¥110.35, having seen the downtrend reassert itself with venom on Friday.

A break below this and the ¥110.11 level would clear the way to the ¥108 area of mid-April. It needs a close above the 100-day SMA at ¥112.25 to reverse the still bearish outlook. 

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