Skip to content

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

The dollar gains ground after a breakthrough for tax cut prospects. However, with EUR/USD, GBP/USD and USD/JPY facing key hurdles, the stage is not yet set for a breakout.

Dollar and yen
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD turns lower from SMA resistance

EUR/USD has begun weakening from the 200-period (4-hour) simple moving average (SMA), which has been a highly reliable indicator over recent weeks. Coming off the back of a retracement and rebound, there is still a good chance we could move higher from here.

However, the key here is whether we see another break through yesterday’s high and the 200-SMA to signal a continuation of the recent rebound. To the downside, the risk is that we break below $1.1662 to form a wider head and shoulders formation.

GBP/USD turning back towards key support zone

GBP/USD has been selling-off throughout the week, with trendline support coming into view once more. The low of $1.3030, coupled with the ascending trendline, points towards a crucial area where this market could rebound once more.

With the break below $1.3121, it looks likely that we will see further downside. Yet, look out for how the market reacts to that trendline and horizontal support zone, as a gauge of whether the market is due to bounce or continue lower. Conversely, a move through $1.3228 would signal that this downturn is over.

USD/JPY breaking higher once more

USD/JPY (大口) is continuing to move higher following the bullish breakout seen over the past few days. The push through ¥113.15 is a significant step towards a bullish breakout, with the ¥113.44 needing to be broken for the market to embark on another bullish breakout.

Should that occur, the ultimate aim would be to push through ¥114.37 to establish a wider bullish outlook. To the downside, we would need to see the price fall below ¥112.29 to negate this bullish view.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by writer