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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, AUD/USD

The dollar suffers heavily after the Federal Reserve pushed back against the idea we could see more than the planned two rate hikes. Will the break higher for EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD mark the beginning of something bigger?

US dollar and pound
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD bounce continues uptrend

EUR/USD rallied through the key $1.0714 level overnight, following a Federal Reserve-fuelled dollar weakness story, and the relief that Geert Wilders has been overcome in Dutch elections. We are seeing the pair pull back this morning, moving back into the $1.0714 support level. 

A break below there could spark a period of weakness as we retrace some of yesterday’s sharp gains. Conversely, an hourly close above $1.0745 would point toward a continuation of recent gains for the pair. In either case, the wider bullish trend has been validated once more, with further gains seemingly likely, irrespective of whether we see a retracement or not. This is the case until we break the previous low ($1.0603 currently).

GBP/USD retracing after spike higher

GBP/USD gained sharply yesterday evening, following the FOMC announcement, with the pair creating a new higher high. The current weakness looks like another pullback before we move higher again. Yesterday’s retracement came into the 50%, and this one could be similarly shallow.

However, the deeper it goes, the better the buying opportunity, with a move into $1.2209-$1.2218 of particular interest. That said, with the price currently at yesterday’s high of $1.2257, there is a chance we could see gains from here. Essentially, a bullish outlook is in play until we break back below $1.2178.

AUD/USD rallies into major resistance zone

AUD/USD has also seen substantial gains, with the pair rallying towards the crucial $0.7732-$0.7835 resistance zone. The lower bound of that zone is also joined by a hugely significant descending trendline, currently at $0.7734. Given the sharp rally into this region, there is a good chance we could see the pair turn lower over the short term at least.

For that to come into fruition, an hourly close below $0.7676 would be required. If that occurs, the $0.7633 level would be well worth watching out for as the key support level. Should we break higher again, watch out for the $0.7734 area as a big roadblock to further gains.

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