Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

The WTI recovery continues to push higher, despite little chance of a production deal. Equally surprising, gold is managing to break higher amid a clear risk-on sentiment shift.

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold spikes from trendline support
After the bulls managed to turn out some positive price-action despite gains across risk assets, gold is finally back up above Monday’s open. We now have a higher-high and higher-low in play on the short timeframes, which provides a good chance of further gains.

We are seeing gold drift lower currently and it seems a better idea to be bullish on a pullback rather than entering any positions within an extended market. As such, Fibonacci retracements will be interesting as potential support should we see further pullback.

In particular, the 38.2% ($1239), 50% ($1237) and 61.8% ($1235) levels are worth watching out for. This bullish view would be negated with an hourly close below $1227.

WTI rally reaches swing high
After an incredible recovery from initial 7% losses yesterday, WTI managed to reach the first swing high ($41.82) this morning. We are seeing a remarkably consistent recovery in play here, which is expected to persist with the next major resistance levels coming around $42.28 and $43.42. This bullish view would be negated with a move back below $40.85.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Find articles by analysts

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 79% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.