All trading involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.

Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold has managed to rebound into a crucial resistance level, while Brent is back at trendline resistance despite a host of bearish news stories.

All trading involves risk. Losses can exceed deposits.
Oil pipes
Source: Bloomberg

Gold back at key resistance level

Gold has rebounded from another deep retracement, with the inability to break below $1289 absolutely key in determining the bias for this market. Unless that level was broken there was always a good chance of another bounce, which has ultimately played out.

This brings us back into the $1303 resistance level, which is going to be key for today’s trade. A break and hourly close above that level points towards a potential rally into the crucial $1307 mark, above which we would be looking at the possibility of a wider and more longstanding recovery. As such, watch the reaction to this $1303 level as a guide of whether we will remain within this short-term range, or break higher towards the $1307 resistance level.

Brent consolidating at trendline resistance

Brent has managed to remain relatively stable considering the host of bearish tones coming from the likes of Russia, who is seeking a return to pre-cut production levels.

However, the price has remained within this descending channel over the past week, and with it trading near the top end, a break through trendline resistance would be unlikely to last, with a wider descending trendline coming into play. With that in mind, both the short-term channel and wider pattern point towards a move lower in the near future. A break above $79.17 would ultimately negate this wider bearish trend seen over the past month. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.