Coffee traders keep their eyes on the skies

Brazil’s barren fields and parched landscape continue to worry coffee traders. 

Since I wrote about Coffee Arabica last week there has been little to cheer consumers as the unseasonably dry weather in South America and specifically Brazil has continued to drive the price higher. Arabica has now increased by 54% since the start of 2014 and has seen the RSI move heavily into overbought territory, above the 80 level.

The direction of this particular commodity is currently being controlled by traders and producers. Only a sustained period of rain will dampen the fears of coffee growers that they will suffer a shortfall to global demand.

As if that were not bad enough those coffee drinkers with a sweet tooth will be suffering a double blow, as a large percentage of sugar-growers are also suffering from the same environmental issues. 

Coffee Arabica chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 79% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage.