Stocks surge on Wall Street

Largely positive economic data has helped stocks rebound after last week's declines.

Last week was a tough stretch for the US stock market in which the S&P 500 shed 1.7% of its value, its biggest weekly drop since August. This week has got off to a bright start with today’s trading, however, with stocks rebounding sharply on Wall Street.

Although caution will still be in the air until we’ve heard the outcome of the FOMC meeting, there have been plenty of signals showing the US economy is faring well.

By early afternoon in New York, the Dow Jones had gained 0.72% or 113 points to 15,868 and the S&P 500 index had risen 0.62% to 1786.4.

Data for the manufacturing sector continues to be ambiguous, with today’s Empire State manufacturing survey coming in at a level of 0.98 for December, showing a decline in business conditions since last month, and undershooting the consensus estimate of analysts polled by Reuters. With the forward-looking new orders component falling in to negative territory, this report suggests there could be some headwind for the manufacturing sector in the New York area.

Nationally, things look a bit rosier, though, according to two other reports today.

Markit’s manufacturing PMI for December nudged up to 54.4 from November’s mid-month reading of 54.3 (the final reading in November was 54.7). The employment component of the index showed significant improvement, but new orders slowed to a level of 54.5. While this is still a solid level, implying expansion, it is down a significant amount from November’s 56.2.

Industrial production jumped 1.1% in November, from October’s upwardly-revised change of 0.1%. The manufacturing component of this report increased by 0.6%, while capacity utilisation climbed from 78.2% to 79.0%.

Despite the slowing suggest by the Empire State survey, today’s reports overall point to improvement in the manufacturing sector, but it remains to be seen whether this will be enough to sway the Fed towards a taper with inflation still so sluggish.

The strength of the industrial production report has boosted the price of crude today, with US light crude oil futures surging 1.2% to $97.70 a barrel.

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IGA Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.