Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold shows signs of a potential reversal, while crude continues to weaken. Will we see a period of weakness across commodities?

Worker walking among oil barrels
Source: Bloomberg

Gold pulls back to key $1200 mark

Gold has tumbled back into the crucial $1200 mark yesterday, following a period of strength throughout 2017 so far. A break below that level could spark a period of weakness should it occur, with $1188 the next crucially important support level.

On one hand, with price holding up around the $1200 mark, there is a good chance we could see a push higher once more to continue the recent bullish trend. On the other, we have seen a trendline break, with questions clearly being asked of this rally. A convincing break below $1200 could be the sign that we are set for a period of weakness.

Brent likely to weaken once more

Brent crude has managed to push higher overnight, following on from yesterday’s sharp move lower.

Considering the downtrend in place over the past three weeks, further downside seems likely, with a move back into $53.83 providing us with a completion of the 76.4% sell-off. As such, a bearish outlook remains in place unless we see a break back above $57.61.

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign marketing partners within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IGA Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.