Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold could be showing signs of bottoming out, while oil is fighting hard to hold $49.

Oil barrels
Source: Bloomberg

Gold gathering support

It is still too early to say whether gold has bottomed here, but we have seen some support develop around the $1260 zone.

For now the downward trend remains intact on the hourly chart, and a push below $1260 would create new lower low. If the price can regain $1270, we may see the beginning of new bullish momentum, although it would be better to see a push back above $1276 to provide confirmation. 

Gold price chart

WTI forming a base

Since 21 April the WTI price has found firm support around $49, which could suggest that a base is forming here.

Momentum is now heavily oversold, but we have yet to see a move back above $50 that would be a necessary prerequisite for a longer-term bounce in oil. More support could be found at $48, at the rising trendline. 

WTI price chart

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IGA Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.