CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Divergent fortunes for commodities, with investors flocking to gold while crude prices crumble. As gold hits a major resistance zone, could we start to see recent gains unwind?

IG Analyst

Publication date : 2017-03-22T10:29:53+0000

Gold rings

Source: Bloomberg

Gold breaks into crucial resistance confluence

Gold gained sharply yesterday, as investors went running for cover in the wake of a widespread risk-off move. While the price has broken higher from a symmetrical triangle this morning, it has since pushed into a major roadblock.

The confluence of a descending trendline and the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement provide us with a key hurdle that must be overcome if we are going to carry this rally onwards. As such, an hourly close above $1250 would resume the bullish outlook, whereas an hourly close below $1243 would point towards a period of weakness.

Gold price chart

Gold price chart

Gold price chart

Brent challenging major support level

Brent is breaking lower once more this morning, with the price challenging the $50.32 level that marked last week’s low. An hourly close below that level signals a continuation of the downtrend, with further losses expected.

A wider, long-term picture shows the continued creation of higher highs and higher lows on the weekly timeframe. With that in mind, the downturn we are currently looking at could come into support around the 61.8% ($49.60) or 76.4% ($47.50) retracements. However, until we break the latest swing high, further losses seem likely, especially in the event of a break below $50.25.

Brent price chart

Brent price chart

Brent price chart

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign marketing partners within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IG Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.

Find articles by writer

Disclaimer:

All forms of investments carry risks and trading CFDs may not be suitable for everyone. CFDs are leveraged instruments and can result in losses that exceed deposits, so please ensure that you fully understand, and are aware of, the risks and costs involved. Refer to the Risk Disclosure Statement and Risk Fact Sheet.

IG Asia Pte Ltd (Co.Reg.No. 200510021K) is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore and holds a capital markets services licence for dealing in capital markets products that are over-the-counter derivatives contracts and is an exempt financial adviser.

IG provides an execution-only service. The information in this advertisement does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. You should consider your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.