Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

The dollar’s rise continues to hurt commodities, with no sign of bullish momentum returning. 

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold descent continues

The fall goes on here, but the price is now close to the $1200 level, which was key support back in June. As long as the dollar continues to strengthen there seems little chance of a turnaround.

There is some potential support at $1190, but below here we could see a swift drop to $1070. Oversold conditions persist, but we’ll need a move above $1230 to confirm a bounce is in play.

Gold price chart

Brent falters at 200-day SMA

The rally faltered at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA), and it now looks as if we could be about to retest $45.35 and then $44.10.

A rally must clear $48, which would open the way to $50.75. Below $44 the price could move towards the August lows at $41.50.

Brent crude price chart

WTI may drop to $44

Here too the price is under pressure, and unless it recovers the 200-day SMA at $46.20, we could see a drop back towards $44, which could then see a further drop to $40, last seen in early August. Above $46.20 the index would head towards $47.89, the 50-day SMA. 

WTI crude price chart

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IGA Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.