Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold prices have recovered off the lows of last week, while oil appears to be in retreat after its strong September rally. 

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold eyes $1300

Having rallied sharply on Friday, gold might be in a position to push higher. If the price can hold above $1260 and the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) then we would look for the chance to buy weakness with a view to a general push back to $1300.

A move down from the current level would head towards $1250 and then to $1200.

Gold

WTI could drop to $48

The drop on Thursday, and additional weakness on Friday suggests that we may see more declines, as the OPEC effect wears off.

Indeed, a bounce today could provide a fresh selling opportunity, especially if the price pushes on below $49.50.

The next target would be $48, the peak from mid-September. Below this the price would head towards $46.67 for WTI.

WTI

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IGA Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.