This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.
It appears that, after a night to sleep on it, DAX traders have woken up and realised how outrageously strong their ZEW economic sentiment figures were and have reacted accordingly. Yesterday also saw the confirmation of chancellor Angela Merkel in her third term as German leader, meaning the country has a stable political platform to work from.
The biggest problem that Germany has is outside its own borders, and the area that should be causing the most concern is not Greece, Italy or Spain but France. Monday’s manufacturing and servicing figures from the country fell further into contraction, highlighting the widening chasm between the two largest EU economies of France and Germany.
The most important sentiment guidance will not be known until European markets are shut, when the US Federal Reserve announces its intentions. Although it is debatable how much influence he really does have over the voting, it is unlikely that the dovish Ben Bernanke would want one of his last meetings to be the catalyst for market panic.