FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/CAD

The dollar is coming under pressure this morning, with EUR/USD in particular spiking higher. However, could this move be on borrowed time?

Euros and dollars notes
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD rallies out of basing pattern
EUR/USD is rallying through the crucial $1.1230 resistance level this morning, providing us with another higher high on the four-hour chart. This provides us with a good overall perspective to show that the current resurgence looks like a retracement of the referendum downturn.

As such, with price approaching the 76.4% retracement at $1.1305, we are looking for shorts around that area to get back on the long-term downtrend. Clearly, that would mean there is a strong chance of further upside until then. We would need price to break through the $1.1428 resistance to negate that bearish view. 

GBP/USD rallies into key resistance
IN_GBPUSD is seeing a resurgence this morning, following yet another leg lower yesterday. Ultimately, there are two potential swing highs that the pair is likely to turn lower below.

Firstly, $1.2945 should hold as resistance, yet should we see an hourly close above here we would be looking for shorts again around $1.2995. We are in a clearly defined downtrend and as such, unless we see an hourly close above $1.3035, a bearish outlook remains in place.

USD/CAD downtrend to continue
USD/CAD has posted yet another sharp leg lower this morning, as the deterioration that has been in place over recent weeks continues. Clearly it is a very reliable downtrend and thus while it seems a little late to go short here, any decent sized pullback will not doubt be perceived as a good area to get short once more. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

CFD’s zijn complexe instrumenten en brengen vanwege het hefboomeffect een hoog risico mee van snel oplopende verliezen. 79% van de retailbeleggers lijdt verlies op de handel in CFD’s met deze aanbieder.
Het is belangrijk dat u goed begrijpt hoe CFD's werken en dat u nagaat of u zich het hoge risico op verlies kunt permitteren.
CFD’s zijn complexe instrumenten en brengen vanwege het hefboomeffect een hoog risico mee van snel oplopende verliezen.