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Day two: our gold trading idea

Spot gold rallied to the April downtrend overnight, however it has stopped just short of printing a bearish daily reversal. 

Gold
Source:Bloomberg

Following on from my potential trade idea yesterday, on the hourly chart, stochastics suggested gold is oversold and a move back above 20 here could indicate a move on gold towards $1276. On the downside, uptrend support drawn from the June 5 low is seen at $1268, so the bulls will want to see this level hold.

It’s worth indicating the 55- and 200-day moving average converge at $1287 to $1286, so a break of these averages and the April downtrend could be fairly important.

It’s interesting to see a sharp increase in the correlation between Brent and gold prices. The five-day correlation has increased from a negative print a week ago to now stand at 0.72 (or 72%). There haven’t been any new issues to push energy prices higher, although constructive comments from John Kerry about working with Iran have been noted.

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