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Sentiment vulnerable in Europe
Topping the index, Fresnillo added 4.2% aided by news that the company is close to having the Mexican explosives ban lifted. Given that the firm operates three gold and silver mines in Mexico, the news should now see production outlook for the year ahead lifted.
Barclays, while having to release its headline numbers a day early due to an embargo infringement, did not curry much favour with investors today upon release of the meat and bones of its fourth-quarter trade. Bigger bonuses, plans to cut 12,000 jobs, along with a lack of clarity
surrounding how the bank plans to grow revenues did not cut any mustard with shareholders. The shares dropped by 7% in intraday trade before recovering slightly.
The inaugural monetary policy testimony from Janet Yellen has garnered much investor focus today. While the prepared statement offered little in the way of surprises, the consolidation in the broader equity markets implies that sentiment is still quite vulnerable. There is a reluctance to believe that, in the absence of loose monetary policy, fundamentals alone can continue to drive markets higher. The dovish tone adopted by the chair while reinforcing the Federal Reserve’s commitment to the scaling back of asset purchases has, for the moment, left traders giving the benefit of the doubt to further gains in equities.
Tech drives the Dow
Cisco, the Californian based manufacturer of networking software and hardware, will be reporting second-quarter earnings after-hours tomorrow, 12 February. Expectations are that revenues will drop from $12.1 billion in Q1 to $11 billion for Q2. It is worth noting that Cisco’s quarterly figures have come in better than expected every quarter in the last two years.
Pound sees some recovery
The interest in the safe haven of the Japanese yen has tempered a little today, as risk assets become a more viable place for capital. The yen has underperformed against the other G10 currencies as a result.
The Australian dollar was the best performer on the day, aided by the moves in copper and gold.
After the carnage following the Fed’s decision to start tapering, Ms Yellen’s comments will certainly carry some weight for the emerging market space. Emerging currencies were trading slightly heavier as caution prevailed ahead of her testimony.
The pound has recovered some of its losses against the greenback, helped by the news that UK retail sales were up 3.9% on a like-for-like basis from January 2013. Given that the Bank of England governor is to give an update tomorrow, the key question is whether we will see a goalpost move from Mark Carney with respect to his forward guidance.
Gold reaches $1290
Gold is up 6% since the beginning of the year and has seen price action near the $1290 level, but still a long way off the historic highs it saw above $1900 in 2011. China seems to be the main driver behind the current rebound in prices; the country consumed 1176 tonnes of gold in 2013, 41% higher than in 2012 according to data released by the China Gold Association. For now the 144-day moving average remains the key to additional upside, currently at $1292/oz. Support comes in from below at $1230.