FTSE on the back foot
The failure to sustain a move and a daily close through the 6641 level (per yesterday’s analysis) has left the FTSE on the back foot, with both the 6620 and 6600 levels failing to act as reasonable support. A break out to the top side which fails to maintain momentum can be construed as rather bearish; a false breakout if you will.
The confluence of the 200- and 100-period moving averages at 6566 are supporting the intraday, so a rise through the 6600 level is sorely needed if we are to escape the current tight range.
Any fall through 6560 will target the 6540 level, then we should see rising trendline support coming from the June 2012 lows around 6520.
DAX fails to break 9500
The DAX made a brave attempt to break the 9500 mark yesterday but to no avail, likely due to some early profit-taking as short-term charts registered overbought signals on the relative strength index.
Price action remains above the 50-day moving average and as long as 9430 holds, we may soon see a retest of the round number. Should the 50-DMA succumb to the bears, then the 100-DMA at 9380 will become the next initial target. A daily close above 9500 brings the 9580 level into focus.
Dow has bias to the downside
Despite numerous intraday highs for the Dow Jones since the beginning of the year, we have yet to witness a daily close above 16,470; yesterday’s bearish candle practically engulfs the previous day’s action. Depending on where we end today’s session, there is a bias to the downside on the basis of the above observations. We have also seen the price now fall below 16,300-10, a key level over the past week.
The uptrend from the February lows remains in vogue with rising support, coming in around 16,200-20, helped by the 200-period MA on the four-hour chart.
A failure to move through 16,300 today would bring the 16,249 region then the 16,200 level into focus.