The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.
There will be plenty of nervousness around the ECB meeting on Thursday and markets seem to have fully priced in aggressive action. Apart from the ECB, we also have the BoJ, BoC and BoE to look out for.
In fact, one of the pairs I’m watching closely at the moment is USD/CAD, which has been trending higher since July last year. The pair bottomed at around $1.0621 and is now trading at around $1.2000.
During the time, US tapering talk followed by tightening have been the dominant themes on the greenback side. For the CAD, the impact of turmoil in oil prices has been relentless and this continues to unravel.
Analysts are now expecting the BoC to be cautious on growth and inflation projections, with language likely to show uncertainty about the future of rates.
In terms of price action, USD/CAD is just sitting under the $1.2000 barrier but could be gearing up for a squeeze higher as the momentum remains strong. I will be looking at dips into $1.1800 for potential buying opportunities as the RSI suggests the pair is slightly overbought.