The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.
Given the lack of volatility in the single currency in recent times, it will be interesting to see if this trend continues. Industrial production for the region is also due out and the market is actually expecting it to retreat to 0.3% (down from 0.8%). Further signs of a weakening European economy will only fuel further stimulus talk.
While EUR/USD continues to hold on to the 1.3600 handle, it seems there is potential for some near term downside. Any moves higher have been used as an opportunity to sell and that is likely to remain a trend in the near term.
Alternatively, some aggressive traders might be looking at a momentum play on a break below 1.3600. On the US dollar side of the equation, there isn’t much to look out for today but the activity picks up tomorrow when we get retail sales, the Empire State manufacturing index, import prices and business inventories.
Janet Yellen will testify before the Senate Banking Committee and there is a risk she could turn less dovish. In that case, we could easily see the US dollar edge higher and in turn weigh on the pair further. Recent Fedspeak has alluded towards a more neutral stance as key indicators track ahead of expectations.