Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold rallies as crude sells off, marking a clear risk off sentiment permeating through the commodities.

Gold daily chart
Source: Bloomberg

Gold has been seeing substantial gains this morning, as investors seek out havens despite the gains seen in the indices. This is a continuation of the uptrend that has been in play since the turn of the year and as such further gains seem justified for both the medium and short-term.

As such, any pullback is expected to be temporary, with the initial support level of $1327 worth watching should we reach it. A bearish view is in place unless we see an hourly close below $1320.

Brent has taken a turn for the worst over the past 24 hours, with a move lower from the $51.45 level. Crucially we didn’t see a break through the $51.73 resistance level, and as such we continue to create lower highs on the wider timeframe.

As thing stand price is turning lower, with a break below $49.55 key to continuing this short-term downtrend. A break back above $50.67 would be required to negate this bearish view.

​US crude has similarly reversed lower following a failure to break back above $50.56. With price currently seeking out a new intraday low, this sell-off looks likely to persist until we see an hourly close back above $49.48.

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