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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

EUR/USD: US NFP fails to impress, but the euro ended the week lower against the dollar

Employment change figure out of the US below expectations, but still didn’t prevent the greenback from outperforming.

EUR Source: Bloomberg
EUR Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD Technical analysis, overview, strategies, and levels

Last week's focus (and volatility) was primarily geopolitical and risk-based, and hence the euro's performance when compared to the remaining FX majors was mostly in the middle, and failing to outperform against the US dollar which topped the performance charts for the week. The net result for EUR/USD's price was a move lower but staying within last week’s main Weekly pivot points, and keeping its bear trend channel on the weekly roughly intact as the weekly outlook shows conflicting technical indicators the net result of which is a consolidatory technical overview.

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EURUSD TA Source: IG charts
EURUSD TA Source: IG charts

IG client and CoT sentiment for EUR/USD

As for sentiment, retail bias started off last week majority short at 56% before shifting to majority long at 59% as fresh shorts got out. As for the CFTC's latest CoT (Commitment of Traders) report, the bias remains in majority short territory dropping a notch to 58% on a greater reduction in short positions by 16,720 lots than long positions by 4,039 lots.

EURUSD sentiment Source: IG charts
EURUSD sentiment Source: IG charts

EUR/USD Chart with retail and institutional sentiment

EURUSD chart Source: IG charts
EURUSD chart Source: IG charts

Be sure to request IG’s Weekly & Daily Market Report when you open an account with IG Dubai and get access to the full information on the FX majors, commodities, indices, and Bitcoin prior to the European market open.


This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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