CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

Levels to watch: FTSE, DAX and CAC

European indices gain ground amid recent downtrends, but there could be more left in the tank for further downside.

IG Analyst

Publication date : 2017-07-04T09:29:49+0100

Trader

Source: Bloomberg

FTSE could have further downside to come

The FTSE is seeing weakness once more this morning, coming off the back of a rally into the crucial 7381 resistance level. Given the break below that level last week, we are likely to sell off into a deeper retracement of the rally from 7088, with the 61.8% (7284) and 76.4% (7209) levels of particular interest.

As such, further downside from here looks likely from here, with a break through 7450 required to negate the recent downtrend.

FTSE chart

FTSE chart

FTSE chart

DAX weakening from key resistance

The DAX has been turning lower from the crucial 12,490 double top neckline overnight, with that break providing us with a bearish outlook. As the index starts to turn higher from 61.8%, there is a chance we could see another test of the key 12,490 resistance level. A break back above that level would point towards a retracement of last Thursday’s sharp sell-off.

However, the lack of any near-term swing high means it would take a break back above 12,735 to bring us back into a bullish mindset. With that in mind, it makes sense to look for longs at the 61.8%, 70% or 76.4% pullback (12,327, 12,245 or 12,180). Given the bullish divergence we are seeing with the stochastic, which has not broken to a new higher high, there is reason to believe that while we could see further downside come into play, it will provide a buying opportunity. Ultimately, we would need to see a break back below 11,941 to believe that the recent downtrend is going to be a more longstanding issue.

DAX chart

DAX chart

DAX chart

CAC rally unlikely to last

The CAC is similarly regaining ground this morning, following a drop into channel support. While there is a good chance we could see further upside from here, we would need a break through 5281 to believe this recent downturn is over.

As such, selling into this rally is preferred, with the 70% (5230) and 76.4% (5241) of particular interest for shorts.

CAC chart

CAC chart

CAC chart

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

Find articles by writer

CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Professional Clients can lose more than they deposit.

The value of shares and ETFs bought through an IG stock trading account can fall as well as rise, which could mean getting back less than you originally put in. Please ensure you fully understand the risks and take care to manage your exposure.

IG does not issue advice, recommendations or opinions in relation to acquiring, holding or disposing of a CFD. IG is not a financial advisor and all services are provided on an execution-only basis. This communication is not an offer or solicitation to enter into a transaction and shall not be construed as such.

IG is a trading name of IG Limited a company registered at 2702 & 2703 Level 27, Tower 2, Al Fattan Currency House, DIFC, Dubai, United Arab Emirates. IG is authorised and regulated by the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) under reference No. F001780.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States, Belgium or any particular country outside the UAE and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.