CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for everyone, so please ensure you fully understand the risks and take care to manage your exposure.

FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

Watching out for possible reversals, it is clear that EUR/USD and USD/JPY have the potential to revert back to the longer-term trends. We await specific levels to be broken as a signal that such moves could be occurring.

CFDs are a leveraged product and can result in losses that exceed deposits. Trading CFDs may not be suitable for everyone, so please ensure you fully understand the risks and take care to manage your exposure.
Euro and dollar notes
Source: Bloomberg

Will EUR/USD break higher from recent downtrend?

EUR/USD has continued to trend lower following Friday’s peak, with the pair creating a new intraday low yesterday. However, the wider picture shows we remain within a wider uptrend following the major swing highs set in July and August.

Last week saw price rally off the 76.4% retracement and we are currently looking to find out whether the pair will surpass that support level or validate it by breaking higher once more. Price is currently being supported by a short-term ascending trendline and as such we will take our lead from the ability (or inability) to break through $1.1182.

Should that occur, it would point towards a resurgence in the pair and a bullish outlook for the week. Conversely, a break lower and especially below $1.1122, would provide a continuation of the recent short-term downtrend.

Will GBP/USD break resistance on second attempt?

IN_GBPUSD attempted to break through the crucial $1.3372 resistance level yesterday, only to fall back sharply. This level is crucial as it is the swing high from August which, if broken, would negate the creation of lower highs that have been in place since mid-July.

As such, today’s price action will be dominated by how price action reacts to this level. A break could provide a strong upward breakout, whereas another failure to push through this level could spark a sharp move lower.

USD/JPY forming potential head and shoulders pattern

IN_USDJPY has run into trendline resistance dating back to February, with price weakening since. However, crucially we are now seeing the pair forming a potential head and shoulders pattern which could see the selling really pick up pace.

With that in mind, it makes sense to await a break and hourly close below ¥103.06 as a means to become bearish once more. This would also match up with the longer-term bearish trend and as such, it makes sense to wait and see if that break occurs and play it from there.

The inability to break that level would point towards a potential continuation higher. However, given trendline resistance, it might make sense to await a leg higher through resistance before becoming bullish once more.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.  Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. 

CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

Find articles by analysts