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Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 71% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/USD volatility is on the wane

​​Outlook on EUR/USD, EUR/GBP and GBP/USD likely to calm down following last week’s volatility.

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​​​EUR/USD hovers above support

EUR/USD’s sharp decline from last week’s $1.0929 high amid worries surrounding Deutsche Bank’s double-digit fall in its share price, leading to flight-to-quality flows into the US dollar, pushed the cross to Friday’s low at $1.0714, to marginally below the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.0736, before closing above it late last week.

​On Monday morning the currency pair is trying to remain above the moving average and the March tentative trendline at $1.0742. While this is the case, the mid-February high at $1.0804 may be revisited. Minor resistance above $1.0804 can be spotted between Thursday’s low at $1.0825 and Friday’s intraday high at $1.0837.

​Where a drop through Friday’s low at $1.0714 to be seen, however, the early March high at $1.0695 would be eyed.

EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​EUR/GBP’s slide from last week’s £0.8865 high shows no sign of stopping just yet

EUR/GBP’s rally to Thursday’s £0.8865 high has been followed by the last few days descent to Friday’s low at £0.8777 as the euro weakened due to the banking crisis surrounding Germany’s largest bank Deutsch Bank.

​A fall through £0.8777 would likely engage the February low at £0.8755.

​Resistance can be found at Thursday’s £0.8814 low and also comes in along the 55-day SMA at £0.8834 and at the 15 March high at £0.8843.

EUR/GBP chart Source: IT-Finance.com
EUR/GBP chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​GBP/USD hovers below last week’s high at $1.2343

GBP/USD’s advance stalled at Thursday’s $1.2343 high with it dropping to $1.2191
before stabilising.

Provided that this low underpins, the 24 January low and mid-February high at $1.2263 to $1.227 may be revisited, a rise above which would lead to the $1.2343 high seen last week being back in the frame.

​Only and advance above Thursday’s high at $1.2343 would push the December and January highs at $1.2446 to $1.2448 to the fore. Below Friday’s low at $1.2191 meanders the 55-day SMA at $1.2154 which may act as support, were it to be revisited.

GBP/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com
GBP/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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